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Why Currencies Rise and Fall: Difference Between Devaluation and Depreciation

Exchange rates move constantly, shaping the flow of trade, investment, and global competitiveness.

Yet few terms are as misunderstood: devaluation and depreciation

Both terms describe a fall in a currency’s value, but they originate from very different mechanisms.

One is controlled by the markets and the other is controlled by policy.

The Market Mechanism: Depreciation

In economies that operate under a floating exchange rate system, currency values are determined by the interaction of supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.

 When a currency depreciates, its value falls relative to another because of market forces, not government intervention.

Several factors can cause depreciation:


  1. Falling demand for exports – When foreign buyers purchase fewer domestic goods, demand for the currency declines.

  2. Rising imports – If consumers and firms import more, they must sell domestic currency to buy foreign currency, reducing its value.

  3. Capital flight – Investors withdrawing funds from local markets to invest abroad create downward pressure on the currency.

  4. Loss in Confidence – Expectations of a weaker currency often become self-fulfilling, as traders sell ahead of anticipated declines.


Example: During the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, investors sought safety in the U.S. dollar. As capital flowed out of emerging markets, many currencies, including the Thai baht, depreciated sharply.

In summary, Depreciation is a market-driven fall in value under a floating exchange rate.


The Policy Mechanism: Devaluation

In contrast, devaluation occurs under a fixed exchange rate system, where a government or central bank sets the currency’s official value relative to another. When authorities deliberately lower that fixed value, the result is a devaluation.

Governments typically devalue their currencies to:


  1. Increase exports – A weaker currency makes domestic goods cheaper to foreign buyers.

  2. Reduce trade deficits – Higher import prices can discourage excessive import demand.

  3. Stimulate growth – Lower exchange rates can support manufacturing, tourism, and employment.


Example: In 1994, China devalued the yuan by roughly 33 percent to strengthen export competitiveness and attract foreign investment. The move became a foundation for its manufacturing-driven growth in the following decades.


In summary: Devaluation is a policy-driven fall in value under a fixed exchange rate.

When Currencies Strengthen: Appreciation and Revaluation

Currencies do not only fall; they also rise. These upward movements are described by appreciation and revaluation.


  • Appreciation:  occurs under a floating exchange rate when market demand increases. Strong capital inflows, rising exports, or higher interest rates can all cause appreciation.

  • Revaluation:  occurs under a fixed exchange rate when the government intentionally increases the official value of its currency relative to another.


Both terms mirror depreciation and devaluation, but in the opposite direction.


Comparison at a Glance


Term

Exchange Rate System

Who Controls It 

Direction of Change

Example

Depreciation

Floating

Market forces

Value decreases

Thai baht weakens against USD

Devaluation

Fixed

Government. or central bank

Value decreases

China lowers yuan peg

Appreciation

Floating

Market forces

Value increases

Thai baht strengthens against USD

Revaluation

Fixed

Government. or central bank

Value increases

Central bank raises official rate

Why Exchange Rates Move

Exchange rates behave like prices, reflecting confidence, expectations, and economic performance. The main drivers include:


  • Interest rate: Higher domestic interest rates attract investors seeking better returns, strengthening the currency.

  • Inflation rates: Higher inflation erodes purchasing power, leading to currency weakness.

  • Trade balance: Countries with strong export performance often experience appreciation, while persistent trade deficits can lead to depreciation.

  • Speculative flows: Investor intentions and expectations can accelerate short-term movements.

  • Government intervention: Central banks may buy or sell reserves to manage volatility or maintain a target level.

The Economic Impact

Exchange rate movements have broad consequences for consumers, businesses, and governments.

A weaker currency (from devaluation or depreciation) generally benefits exporters and tourism by making domestic goods cheaper abroad. However, it raises the cost of imports and can trigger inflation.


Conversely, a stronger currency (from revaluation or appreciation) makes imports cheaper and can lower inflation, however negatively impact exporters and stun growth. Policymakers must balance these trade-offs carefully, as excessive fluctuations can destabilize economies.


One well-known outcome is the J-Curve effect. After a devaluation, a country’s trade balance often worsens before it improves. Import prices rise immediately, but export volumes take time to respond to the new, cheaper prices.

Conclusion


Devaluation and depreciation describe similar outcomes, a fall in a currency’s value, but stem from fundamentally different causes. Depreciation is an outcome of market behavior, while devaluation is a policy choice.


Understanding how and why currencies rise and fall offers not only insight into global finance but also a reflection of how economies manage the delicate balance between growth and stability.



Thanks for reading!– Cristabelle Chang

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